2020 Election Predictions
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- yuekit2
I'm calling it for Biden. He's about to overtake Trump in Michigan and if his lead holds in Wisconsin that's enough to win.
- Biden's lead is so low in Wisconsin, that Trump would be well within his rights to request a recount.Continuity
- Agreed it's very tenuous. But all of the votes coming in now are mail in votes and they appear to be heavily weighted towards the Dems, like 80-20yuekit
- Sports books in Australia have Biden at $1.30 and trump at $3.40 now. Biden was at $4.70 8 hours ago.thumb_screws
- I heard on BBC World Service that Wisconsin is 93% counted and Biden is ahead by 11,000 votesdorfsman
- Biden needs 43 electoral votes to win and Wisconsin only has 10. Do not bet money on this call.nb
- Yeah but Wisconsin + Michigan + Arizona will put him over the top. That was all he needed, to win those three states back from Trump.yuekit
- Wisconsin, Mich, Nevada. It's enough for Biden. but you'd love one more to put it beyond Trump being able to drag it outsothere
- face_melter1
Hayzilla's post and cherub's response just there made me laugh and think of Mad Max: Fury Road.
Y'all just barrelling through the desert in life-sized Hot Wheels cars, racing for the promised land and a better future for the children and then someone goes '...hold up, fuck this for a game of soldiers - we need to go back and face a whole new hurricane of shit and piss. C'mon, it'll be fine - I promise'.
Meanwhile, Immortan Joe is revving up his Oldsmobile 88 with Sabbath at full tilt, getting jacked on dry markers ready to fuck anything with a spine.
- ayport0
Shocked about this one..
- A racist and a bigot getting elected to office?
In Georgia, of all places?
Say it isn't so.Continuity - America deserves this!utopian
- A racist and a bigot getting elected to office?
- kingsteven1
- amazing to think if biden scrapes by a ton of votes are protest votes against trump, but not many the other way. a lot of US progressives put aside theirkingsteven
- differences to put the grassroots weight behind his campaign.kingsteven
- So from your perspective do you think people with far-right views should not have freedom of speech?yuekit
- I feel like this would be incredibly unpopular at least in USA. Just seeing how people react to mild forms of censorship.yuekit
- Continuity-1
The WP's graph, as it currently sits. Looks markedly different than it did when I got up about 8 hours ago (which had Biden losing).
Effectively, Trump only has a commanding lead in:
• Pennsylvania (and that narrowed a tiny bit since this morning);
• Maine District 2 (whoopty-fucking-do, a bunch of lumberjacks and fishermen);
• Alaska (who gives a fuck about polar rednecks).The remaining states have him at substantially less than a 5% lead.
Don't hold your breath kids, but we might actually be rid of the sharty orange imbecile.
- yuekit1
Biden just took the lead in Michigan
He now only has maintain his lead in states where he's already ahead and the election is over.
- youd just want him to get Georgia or North Carolina to keep the Orange fuckwit right out of itsothere
- comeback joe, just like in the primariestank02
- @Yuekit - I was just about to say the same thing. Trump will challenge the shit out of this thing and drag it out for weeks.ayport
- But Trump said he wonNBQ00
- He really needs PA and either NC or GA for a comfortable leadSteveJobs
- It looks possible he might win PA and GA when everything is said and done. But that's bonus, not needed to win.yuekit
- GA still has a large trove of Atalanta suburbstank02
- mekk0
Biden leads in Wisconsin, Michigan and Nevada. It would be enough for Biden if it stays like it is.
Michigan and Nevada are still counting mail-in votes, where Biden is said to have a 2/3 lead.
- nb10
The only clear lesson here is that America needs a democracy overhaul. Ending national elections with exactly half of voters being angry and depressed is not going to get us ANYWHERE.
There will be no progress if this continues.
Fuck the two-party system.
Fuck BOTH political parties, which are both evil, both anti-democratic, and both entirely anti-American.
- Agree 100%.section_014
- As a thought experiment, I'm trying to imagine 1) the US using the Westminster system, 2) having, say, 5 mainstream parties, and 3) facing a hung parliament.Continuity
- And the only result of this thought experiment always comes back to lots of shooting.
The US isn't mature enough for this system.Continuity - Mature in years? Because Canada does it just fine.nb
- Wouldn't be mature enough for a parliamentary republican system, either.Continuity
- Mature in mentality.Continuity
- I've thought this for years. However, changing this would require people to come together and be open-minded... That seems like an insurmountable task now.aslip
- Neither party has the will or desire to change the status quo.utopian
- ^ The have a vested interest in maintaining the status quo, in fact.
Totally agree, nb!MondoMorphic - age cap a mustzaq
- should Canada declare war to USA, invade them and force feed them democraty? lolBennn
- Canada should probably stfu until it solves it's own problems.nb
- The setup sucks, but in order to have a democracy you need to have at least 2. If everyone agrees then its a single party... and we all know where that goes.toemaas
- misterhow-1
Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada?!?
- MashachubetsNBQ00
- Maybe, maybe, probablySteveJobs
- Biden's campaign manager doing a live stream on Twitter right now. They seem confident they are winning MI, WI and PA.yuekit
- PA too? that would be a miracle considering where it stands nowzaq
- Yeah, PA has a larger margin than GA or NC, but that would be coolSteveJobs
- Probably because of where the outstanding votes are, heavily Dem areas and mail in ballots.yuekit
- don't get my hopes up yuekit hahaSteveJobs
- SteveJobs-1
This is my best case scenario now given where things are and the likelihood of how things could go as a result:
Biden:
6 NV
11 AZ
10 WI
16 MI
4 ME47 Total
224 Current271 Result
Trump:
20 PA
15 NC
16 GA
3 AK54 Total
213 Current267 Result
Biden 271 over Trump 267 (270 needed to win)
- Based on current margins I think Michigan may be the sole deciderSteveJobs
- zarkonite0
300,000 mail-in ballots not delivered by USPS in Florida. That's totally fucked up.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/b…
"USPS disregards court order to conduct sweeps in 12 postal districts after more than 300,000 ballots can’t be traced.
A federal judge had ordered mail service and law enforcement agents to comb processing plants for votes as delays continue "- geez, that practically represents the margin trump is winning by too :oSteveJobs
- The hill is reporting another bunch of undelivered ballots in Georgia.zarkonite
- https://twitter.com/…dmay
- I'll take two real journalists' investigation supported by evidence over this vice article you posted...zarkonite
- but open to view all evidence that supports the truth.zarkonite
- (update 24hrs later) It was #fakenews: https://www.cnn.com/…zarkonite
- yuekit2
- butthurtfadein11
- what a fucken babyfuturefood
- he's going downfadein11
- https://youtu.be/Dx3…zaq
- because his followers are too scared to mail in their votesscarabin
- a situation he actively nurtured, with his membership - it's all a fraud, don't trust it... then plays the bewildered innocent when it plays out. k bud.prophetone
- prophetone0
Recounts incoming...
- scarabin12
- more arrows pleasedbloc
- When you break it down by county it’s overwhelming clear that educated people in large cities are democrat and everyone else isn’t.monospaced
- @mono it's the same in almost any democratic country.grafician
- i'm not sure where to lookKrassy
- The least educated states are the red ones. We all knew this already. Country’s least educated, most brainwashed racist cunts vote trump.monospaced
- Yeah those who've gone through a standardised, internationalised collegiate system are more likely to favour candidates who support globalism. That much we knowKhurram
- or the sign of a failed strategy for the lower classes.sted
- its the same thing everywhere. the less educated you are, the more keen you are towards the RightBennn
- Yes Khurr. You are describing higher education. People who learn more about the world and are more successful.monospaced
- You're an arrogant conceited twat monospaced.Khurram
- Globalism ? lol, that's fucking shitei_was
- Globalism is what is fucking up the planet.i_was
- Classic. Calling educated intelligent people “arrogant” is exactly what uneducated people love to do. Since when is knowledge a bad thing?monospaced
- Additionally, don’t get mad at me and call me conceited because I’m pointing out the plain simple facts. It’s not just an opinion friend. Don’t get so triggeredmonospaced
- Trump KILLS it with the “high school dropout” group as much as the “can hardly read and write” constituents. Oh and the evangelicals love him.monospaced
- And I agree. Those people aren’t arrogant or conceited. They can’t be.monospaced
- @mono Khurram just showed you why is this happening and you fell for it. I hope you can draw the right conclusionsted
- Two sides of the same coin I guess. He’s saying they vote for trump because they are insecure about how unskilled and uneducated and pathetic they are. Got it.monospaced
- I didn’t FALL for anything. It’s just plain true. And pointing it out isn’t the problem.monospaced
- He is arguing a vote for Biden is a vote for globalism. We know THAT isn’t true.monospaced
- Who.. whut... comprehension problems?Khurram
- None at all. Thank you.monospaced
- i don't think these notes allow for the nuance necessary to get through your arrogance and conceit, but I think it might help you in life generally to get...Khurram
- beyond your crass charicateurizations.Khurram
- You literally wrote that educated people support globalism when describing their vote for Biden. I comprehended that 100% accurately. If not please clarify.monospaced
- If you have a counter argument to mine go ahead. Otherwise you’re not really saying anything meaningful.monospaced
- Educated? That's your word dumbass. I literally did NOT say that. OMG you're such a fucking tool.Khurram
- This post of scarabins shows that the lowest educated states are the most for trump. It’s just a fact. Are you disputing that or just talking shit?monospaced
- Yes. I said educated. And you responded to expound on that. I’m not missing anything.monospaced
- wait, you calling yourself educated an intelligent? lolKhurram
- Arguing about arguing, fucking tit.Khurram
- And yeah, Biden is the neo-liberal globalist candidate par excellence - so fuck him!Khurram
- https://www.qbn.com/…sted
- I am educated yes. So what? What has my background have to do with anything? Uneducated masses voted for trump. That is what happened. Simple.monospaced
- I didn’t vote for globalism. Neither did most Biden voters. Your entire point seems to be to insult me and globalization. Lol.monospaced
- You have nothing to say on the subject of this post then. Got it.monospaced
- The voting map on the (L) and least educated states on the (R) align 100%.
Enough said.utopian - Pennsyltucky is always a toss up.utopian
- While all Trump supported voted FOR racism, got it. What a narrow world view you've cultivated for yourself with all that education.Khurram
- I didn’t say that.monospaced
- But it’s a fact that this nations biggest racists were quite openly and proudly trump supporters. Which is what I am referring to.monospaced
- Now if you want to dispute that or the education level of said voters, let’s hear it.monospaced
- Wait, did i just distort and misrepresent what you said to make a crass generalisation? I'm sooooo sorry monospacer! Sooooo sorryKhurram
- Khurram, it's better to just ignore himpinkfloyd
- lolmonospaced
- reminds me of this https://www.youtube.…MrT
- mono enjoys punching down. the 'uneducated masses' are exactly the people the Democrats have willfully left behind in their grab for middle class cuntery.face_melter
- they have been actively ignored and dumped by a party supposedly for the working classes. so there's no surprise they turn to an alternative.face_melter
- what middle classes? they were wiped out years ago.fadein11
- grafician5
BREAKING Wisconsin Elections Commission Administrator says on @NBCNews: “All of the ballots have been counted.” Joe Biden has won Wisconsin by 20,697 votes.
- Biden will also pass 70 mil votes, most for any president.grafician
- if they recount all the votes in Florida, Biden might flip that lolgrafician
- Has now expanded his lead to over 30,000 votes in Michigan.
This margin is greater than Trump’s 2016 total over Clinton.jonny_quest_lives - keep countingjonny_quest_lives
- Yup, confirmed: 70.024.012 for Biden and still counting...grafician
- https://mobile.twitt…jonny_quest_lives
- Might be a recount if the difference is under 1% tho'grafician