betting against Facebook
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- zoozoo0
holograms
- futuremongolian0
In all seriousness, I don't see Facebook being around in 5 years. I just don't see it, it all reeks of a giant new bubble (1 billion for instragram??).
- zoozoo0
yeah the 1 billion for instagram looks similar to the.com bubble bursting... but then again, who has not used instagram?
It's the consumerization of post-production.
- I've never used instagram.futuremongolian
- me eitherprophetone
- i havent either, but still...many have.zoozoo
- I had to look up what it wasFax_Benson
- I've never used it eitherformed
- futuremongolian0
I just think that with social networks like Facebook, there's an unavoidable life cycle of user interest. Unlike Twitter, facebook doesn't do anything unique. Twitter, imho, has way more shelf-life as it doesn't involve privacy/privacy issues, and almost like FM radio in terms of being an unchallengeable technology.
The inherent flaw with Facebook is bringing in new users. Kids who using social networking now, won't be using Facebook when the time comes because...their parents will be on Facebook. The only way to avoid parental overreach will be to use a different service.
- *Kids who AREN'T usingfuturemongolian
- Twitter does something unique?freshdude
- twitter stole the status update from fbook and made a service based around that onlyfadein11
- utopian0
I give FB at least 2 years before it becomes the next Myspace and a new Internet phenomenon takes it over!
- Beeswax0
It's just a show-off and assuring trust before public offer. A lot of people will fall into this and buy stocks couple of bucks more than they would be.
- 20020
since everyone seems to be an expert in social media and value of social media companies, I guess you would be rich when your predictions come true.
- a valid point, I guess.zoozoo
- Yes, if I had money to invest I would probably be rich.futuremongolian
- CanHasQBN0
futuremongolian, As it is today, I think FB does something unique. Every day my mom tells me of some old college friend from overseas that she found on FB. And then they get on the phone and start talking and catch up. What other source brings everyone together like that? Twitter is too terse and seems more about celebrities, while FB is more about regular people.
I'm not saying FB will last forever, but I think it will be around for a while. MySpace was a wreck because of the over-customization and people got sick of not knowing what to expect when they went to a page... some song blaring or a million gifs. People like the structure FB gives.
- Twitter may be celebrity (and media)-driven but it's also far more popular with non-whites than Facebook.futuremongolian
- yovkov0
This new thing, google+, will replace it, it's so much better, with circles and stuff
- fadein110
one huge privacy disaster and facebook will die. and its highly likely.
- 23kon0
Rumour has it that Facebook runs from one single PC sitting in Mark Zuckerberg's spare bedroom.
If you want to take down Facebook, dress up as a Electric Meter Man, go round his house and say that you are there to read his meter. Sneak into his spare bedroom and turn the computer off.
WIN!
- cannonball19780
You guys are missing the fact that it's got roots in out culture. Zuckerberg was time's man of the year. The president mentions Facebook etc, The f logos are everywhere. It's not going to go away of it's own accord. Someone will have to build something better and in order for that to happen there has to be a sudden expansion in internet capabilities across the board that is a fundamental paradigm changer.
- loool0
bet on google wave, or buzz, or google +
- formed0
Timeline = demise of FB
I hated FB to begin with, but succombed to the pressure and have a business profile(s).
Like everyone, I get 5 million "suggested" friends. I go to friend fellow photographers/models in my area and now FB has banned me from sending messages or requesting friends (I can't even send a message for fuck's sake!). I have 330 friends, some have 5000, how can you tell me that I can't have any more and they aren't just friending everyone!?!
Now I am a member of the "wtf" group that is growing rapidly.I'll be the first to jump ship when something else shows up.
And I am confident that the FB killer is already out there. FB's only hope is to monetize their business, which they haven't done so successfully, and keep everyone super happy. I don't see how they can, timeline alone is annoying the hell out of everyone I know.
Only a matter of time and time is short in internet land.
- when something else shows up? Like Google plus?CanHasQBN
- Are you kidding about FB not monetizing successfully? u know how much they make on ads? Maddddddd dollars yo..mantrakid
- theyre making like $5+ billion a year at this point.mantrakid
- Ha, yeah, looks like I've let my prejudice cloud my Wallstreet updates
formed - They are making $1 Billion/yr, as per their IPO filing in Feb.formed
- I still don't like it!formed
- animatedgif0
Yeah Facebook has been a modern day AOL keyword to me for a while. It's a method to dumb down the internet for the mouth breathers. However it still hasn't made the jump successfully to smartphones/tablets which is where the mouth breathers are migrating to as they don't require a whole computer to use the internet to the extent that they do.
Does this "Facebook/brandname" bullshit actually benefit anyone other than PR and marketing agencies? Do people really want to use the internet that way or are they just too stupid to use it any other way.
I can see social networking side of Facebook slipping down into simpler more focused micro networks like Twitter/Instagram etc. The instant gratification of Instagram is something the catch all solution of the Facebook timeline can't compete with. Not sure what AOL keyword 2.0 part of FB is going to become instead yet.
- 'Mouth breathers' is a wonderful term. Thanks for enlightening me :)Hombre_Lobo
- ali0
- randommail0
As mentioned by others, Facebook is already "not cool".
So having said that, how long do you think before the new group of parents showing their kid's baby photos will get tired of this fruitless activity? One guess could be when their kids are no longer babies.
And Google+ seems to stand on the shoulder of all the other social media outlets and build upon it.
Anyway thanks to 2002, I'm calling my broker (I don't have one yet)
- 20020
randomail
don't call. calling will cost you more when you make trade. you can simply execute via most online trading (ameritrade etc). Make sure you are approved for margin but limit your margin.
- 20020
BTW I own equity in FB so I am biased.