Donald Trump
Out of context: Reply #10538
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- yuekit1
A Mystery $30 Million Wave of Pro-Trump Bets Has Moved a Popular Prediction Market
Trump’s gains on Polymarket have cheered his supporters, and they have been followed by the odds shifting in Trump’s favor in other betting markets. Elon Musk flagged Trump’s growing lead on Polymarket to his 200 million X followers on Oct. 6, praising the concept of betting markets. “More accurate than polls, as actual money is on the line,” Musk posted.
But the surge might be a mirage manufactured by a group of four Polymarket accounts that have collectively pumped about $30 million of crypto into bets that Trump will win.
“There’s strong reason to believe they are the same entity,” said Miguel Morel, chief executive of Arkham Intelligence, a blockchain analysis firm that examined the accounts.
- I also don’t see how this non poll would be misunderstood as an indicator of the outcome. Silly.monospaced
- lol polymarket is fake
is the crypto bros prediction heaven******** - I reckon maybe Elon had something to do with thisdbloc
- If it’s fake/manipulated, that’s some easy money to pick up for the sure-fire Kamala win. Everyone should be piling on. It’s a lock.monNom
- Why would it mean that? Before this happened the odds were about 50/50.yuekit
- On the same site, the popular vote is 69-31 for Kamala lulz********