Russia-Ukraine Invasion
Out of context: Reply #385
- Started
- Last post
- 2,626 Responses
- drgs1
Putin is caught in a trap which has appeared in Russian history many times: Whenever a tsar was losing people's support, his advisers would recommend to execute a small victorious war. This war is, of course, lost due to their army being completely corroded by corruption etc.
Two such wars:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ru…
"The complete victory of the Japanese military surprised international observers and transformed the balance of power in both East Asia and Eastern Europe, resulting in Japan's emergence as a great power and Russia's decline in prestige and influence in Eastern Europe. The loss of life without victory and the humiliating defeat for the Russian Empire contributed to growing domestic unrest which culminated in the 1905 Russian Revolution and accelerated the disintegration of the Russian autocracy."https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cr…
"Russia's humiliation forced its educated elites to identify its problems and to recognise the need for fundamental reforms. They saw rapid modernisation as the sole way to recover the empire's status as a European power. The war thus became a catalyst for reforms of Russia's social institutions, including the abolition of serfdom and overhauls in the justice system, local self-government, education and military service."The reason is: the bigger the organizational hierarchy, the less real information is reaching the top. Putin, like most people of his age, knows that internet exists, but is not using it. He relies on his advisers who feed him all info on printed sheets of paper in folders. They filter out bad information and add in whatever he wants to read, and the same applies to advisers' advisers beneath them and so forth.
This is also true for the corporate world. Eventually you have one way communication from the top downward, but nothing reaches the top.The result is field rations which have expired in 2015, tanks without exterior armor, beat down btr's which look like training equipment, civilian trucks for supplies, soldiers buying helmets with their own money, open frequency communication and this:
https://rusi.org/explore-our-res…- Add to your list Chinese made tires that are copies of premium brand ones, have been store flat and are failing.shapesalad
- The link to the air operations - I read it could be due to borders not being easily seen from air and pilots could easily stray outside of ukraine.shapesalad
- Unlike Russias activity in middle easy where boarders were more visible - due to being based on topographical features. Also providing cover.shapesalad
- @drgs Da********
- <- dis
good morning drgs :D******** - Maybe this is how Russia moves forward, ie. not continuously like most western nations, but in discrete, separate jumps. And for every jump there has to bedrgs
- a small crisis. Otherwise Russia a like giant ship which is very difficult to turn around and moves very slowly.drgs
- Da. Da.********
- This leaked analysis supposedly from FSB officer is making the rounds...yuekit
- https://twitter.com/…yuekit
- It may or may not be real but makes similar points and also mentions Russia's loss against Japan.yuekit
- "First, it’s not one person that decides, and someone will refuse. There are lots of people involved in the process and there is no single “red” button."drgs
- "I am not sure that the “red button” system functions according to the declared data. Besides, plutonium fuel must be changed every 10 years."drgs