Donald Trump
Out of context: Reply #5974
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- Salarrue-1
In 2016 the only accurate poll was the one from LATimes, here is 2020 version :
https://www.latimes.com/projects…
The USC Dornsife Presidential Poll is back for the 2020 election, offering insight into how voter’s attitudes change as election day approaches. Nicknamed the Daybreak poll because it updates each day just after midnight, this poll of more than 6,000 respondents predicts how the popular vote will be split.
The Daybreak poll works differently from other election polls. The project is led by USC’s Center for Economic and Social Research along with the school’s Center for the Political Future, in collaboration with researchers from the Santa Fe Institute and MIT.
It tracks the same panel of eligible voters for months leading up to the election, instead of drawing new respondents every time. Rather than simply asking people which candidate they expect to vote for, the poll asks each respondent to rate their probability of voting for each candidate as well as their probability of voting at all. That provides more information from each voter, which, in theory, should improve the accuracy of the results. The responses from each voter are then weighted, so that the result is more reflective of the overall voting demographic.
Each voter’s attitude toward the candidates is recorded twice a month. To ensure that all respondents are included in each day’s results, numbers are released as a fourteen-day average.
- looking from the outside it seems only polls in the really close marginal states mean anything? Record-breaking Dem turnout in California or NY just obscuresFax_Benson
- the picture?Fax_Benson
- It's more of a Decency vs. Fraud election, pick your side and vote.********
- There were more than just one poll that turned out to be accurate, Fox News just to name one...zarkonite
- Even CNN had polls that predicted Trump would win: https://projects.fiv…zarkonite
- not really zark, here you have 2016 https://election.usc…Salarrue