Coronavirus

Out of context: Reply #1264

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    Situation today in Romania (not very important overall, ik, but!):

    433 confirmed
    66 new cases
    64 cured
    2 deaths (both men, over 60, one had terminal cancer, the other died due to complication from other chronic disease)
    5000+ tested so far, with many thousands more in the following weeks (waiting for 1 mil. test kits from South Korea)

    I calculated the percent dead: 0.43%

    All this after 25 days since this started in our country.
    Population currently around 16 million inside the country.
    Complete lockdown starting tomorrow.

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    These numbers per 1000 of people, seems to be the norm I've read in many articles claiming that the infection will spread to 50% of the population but kill under 1% - if we reduce de R0 to 1 from 2.5% right now

    So if you're in a country that just sees their first confirmed numbers, just start locking everything down - borders first, then any shops/malls/pubs, then keep everybody inside for at least 1 month no exception, then start testing everybody - you will definitely curb this in under a 1 month if you start now!

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    • everywhere is important. One country not taking serious measures have the potential to keep infecting others.Beeswax
    • In comparison Turkey banned only 65+ from going outside, the rest is still outside. Iran border is still open thousands walking through the border into Turkey.Beeswax
    • There's not enough masks in the hospitals, but you can find internet sellers asking for x10, there's no gov crack down on them yet.Beeswax
    • One advantage is that number of ICU beds in Turkey is one of the highest in the world. But that is not enough on its own.Beeswax
    • ^ there’s a reasonable argument to be made to quarantine the old while the rest develop immunity.Gnash
    • @Bee @Gnash yes, I think this is their decision - but at least close the borders, so you don't "import" other cases
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    • In Italy it's 80% if all dead are men.
      87% are over 70 yo.
      99% have some kind of illness from before.      drgs
    • yes, very low mortality rates under 40 and healthy
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