Is Flash dead?

Out of context: Reply #16

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  • Boz0

    I think the web itself is dead as we know it..

    We are in a full blown transition to application model on mobile devices, handhelds, TVs, phones, tablets etc..

    I think it's only natural.. as web 2.0 was maturing, so did business models.. and more and more we saw startups creating services/platforms with API hooks. This is Web 3.0.

    I was and am involved with several startups and this is how things are morphing now..everyone is doing this model.. it's the next step.

    Most sites don't have the destination model anymore in terms of web site.. they do have website still, but not for the same necessity as before, less and less people want to get people to visit their sites. It's all about APIs.. so Netflix, Hulu and all others are now using devices and your TV and your consoles to hook into the those websites you were using your computer to visit.

    Even now, you see that our desktop computers won't be really using browsers anymore but will use online stores such as OSX App Store, or Intel's AppUp, or Adobe's InMarket etc where you will be running applications the same way you run them on your home/portable devices.

    We have entered a new generation where the web will hold data, API platforms and so on and as I said, apps will be the ones acting as front end hooking into the cloud.

    This brings us to Flash.. Flash as a plugin probably won't be as important as it was up to this point.. this is why for some time now we have seen Adobe and Microsoft shift Flash and Silverlight to development platforms that run on desktops/web/mobile devices etc.. That's why they created Open Screen Project a few years ago.. This is why we have AIR..

    AIR is in fact the future of Flash. As the devices become more powerful (our mobile phones using dual or even quad core ARM and Intel processors ) we will see more and more immersive apps running through AIR, Silverlight etc..

    If you look at what Adobe showcased on MAX 2010, it's all geared towards what I'm mentioning here.. you will be building apps with Actionscript and Flash/AIR runtimes for game consoles, mobile phones, tablets, TVs etc.. and hooking into APIs like YouTube, Netflix, Amazon etc etc..

    So to wrap it up.. Flash as a plugin will eventually die.. that was pretty much inevitable, but Flash as a platform will continue thriving..

    HTML5 is now at the point where it will probably do a good enough job for simplest thing and news sites and blogs and stuff like that that doesn't have a spot as an app or API on these devices.. and in that Flash really doesn't have a place.. there's no need for it.

    My 2 cents.

    Boz 0Permalink
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