The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Out of context: Reply #2

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    was reading about this guy at the weekend. he was dismissed by a lot of people working in the markets, until recently. they are now paying him $60,000 a time to talk.

    as far as i could tell, his basic theory on everything is that nothing can be predicted, so building complex models trying to do just that, is a waste of time. not exactly ground breaking.

    • Hahaha, I guess that proves what he was on aboutstem
    • I bet he never predicted that!stem

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