Clinton thread

Out of context: Reply #201

  • Started
  • Last post
  • 442 Responses
  • ********
    0

    "The problem the Clinton partisans face right now is that Obama didn't say what Wright said, and people are too smart to realize that just because you attend a church or are friends with someone, doesn't mean you agree with them 100 percent. (Just like you guys don't agree with everything I write, yet you continue to return.)

    Pew Research Center. 3/19-22. Registered voters. MoEs: 3.5% for registered voter sample, 6% for GOP sample, and 5.5% for Dem sample. (2/20-24 results)

    General election matchups

    McCain 43 (43)
    Obama 50 (49)

    McCain 45 (44)
    Clinton 50 (49)

    Other surveys show different numbers, but bottom line here, Clinton doesn't fare better than Obama. Her electability argument, as can be seen in plenty of other surveys, doesn't hold any water.

    Primary

    Clinton 39 (40)
    Obama 49 (49)

    After all the Wright ups and downs, this is essentially treading water over the last month.

    Obama's handling of the Wright situation

    Excel/Good Fair/Poor

    Tot 51 42

    Rep 33 61
    Dem 66 28
    Ind 48 42

    Obama Supporters 84 12
    Clinton Supporters 43 52

    Even Clinton supporters are generally split. Fact is, he handled it damn well.

    Now let's look at how White Democratic voters see the two Democratic candidates:

    Obama Clinton

    Inspiring 80 65
    Down-to-earth 78 63
    Honest 79 66
    Patriotic 78 90
    Phony 16 30
    Hard-to-like 13 43

    Note the "phony" numbers, and that was before the Tusla stuff exploded. This poll was finished last Saturday. So Clinton sort of walked into a trap, reinforcing a trait that people already harbored against her. I wouldn't have called her a "phony" a week ago, but now the evidence is mounting on that front. I suspect the next edition of this poll in a month will show a much larger spread on that question than 16-30.

    That is, unless Clinton has a speech lined up to address those concerns."

View thread