The World is Fucked

Out of context: Reply #343

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  • utopian0

    Existential or civilization-ending risk within the next 100 years:

    1) Asteroid / Comet: 0.001% to 0.01%
    2) Disease / Virus: 1% to 5
    3) Alien Invasion: Near 0%
    4) Nuclear War: 0.1% to 1%.
    5) Engineered disease / Bio / Chemical Warfare: 1% to 4%
    6) Famine: 0.1% to 1%
    7) Sun Goes Supernova: Near 0%
    8) Black Hole: Near 0%
    9) A.I.: 5% to 15%
    10) Climate / Ecological Collapse: 0.1% to 3%
    11) Supervolcano: 0.01% to 0.1%
    12) Other Unknown Risks: 1% to 5% (Includes unknown technologies, cascading systems collapse, nanotech, extreme social instability, or risks we have not yet identified.)

    Total chance of human extinction this century:
    Roughly 3% to 10%

    Total chance of modern civilization collapsing or being permanently transformed:
    Roughly 10% to 25%

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