Artificial Intelligence
Artificial Intelligence
Out of context: Reply #1784
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- yuekit8
"The Government Knows A.G.I. Is Coming"
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/…
"Powerful A.I. Is Coming. We’re Not Ready"
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/…
These articles sound convincing until you read them more closely and realize none of it is based on anything...the authors are just citing vague statements by tech CEOs that almost certainly won't come true.
Maybe "AGI" (AI with human level thinking) will be achieved at some point but there's no way it's happening this year or next year.
- There is no AI, it's mostly hype********
- Scientists generally say that AGI will come before 2040, according to new analysis, slashing 20 years off previous predictions.utopian
- https://www.livescie…utopian
- What do you mean there is no AI? LOLzutopian
- Yeah but 50% chance it will happen sometime between 2040 and 2061 is completely different from saying it will happen next yearyuekit
- You also can't reliably predict that far out. It depends on things that have not yet been invented being invented.yuekit
- LLMs are not true AI in the sense of the world used before LLMs, thus, there is no AI********
- So when you hear these "predictions" that "AGI is around the corner" it's just hype.
All these CEOs need to raise more money so ofc they will say anything******** - It's always "in the next 2 years"********
- Whether you want to call it AI or just machine learning, what seems clear is LLMs lack a lot of the capabilities needed to match human intelligence.yuekit
- If none of this is based on anything, look no further than the second post in this thread, 11 years ago that was amazing, we’re lightyears ahead a decade laterprophetone
- What I meant is the prediction that AGI is coming next year or in a few months is based on nothing. It's just people repeating hype and rumors.yuekit
- I stick with RAY KURZWEIL: In 1999, I predicted by 2029, we’d reach the Turing test and also AGI, where basically a computer can do anything a human can do.uan
- lol it's always 2-3 years ahead********
- @uan See what's interesting is that the Turing test is much easier than AGI, Turing test just says you can't distinguish from a human. That has probably alreadyyuekit
- All they need to do is train the LLM's on QBN and data and BOOM -- not only AGI but even ASI achieved.Krassy
- been achieved. A system that predicts the next token based on likelihood without understanding anything can easily pass a Turing test.yuekit
- Kurzweil is usually right or just a few years behind. Expect him to be right within at most ten years.********
- no matter how you name it: AI, LLM, if the architecture of the model is not static after deployment, and it could modify my own neural network weight.. sayonaramaquito
- this is what the articles talk about, graf. not if LLMs are actual AI. They talk about the fact that if self-modifiable, models would kill jobs too quicklymaquito
- There is no AI, it's mostly hype