The Russia thread.
Out of context: Reply #575
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- pr20
Once again amazing analysis (in Polish).
A few key take aways:
1. There are 3 fronts: Crimean + Donbas, Kharkov, Kiev.
2. Crimea + Donbas = is going bad for Ukraine. Russian offense is very well prepared and executed with high morale.
3. Kharkov would go much better if not the last minute the forces were not taken for the Kiev front.
4. Kiev front, according to the speaker, was added into the plan the last minute with "a crayon". It's going badly for the Russians but they are quickly learning.
5. The Russians are using only 40% of the amassed forces.
6. Belarus "might" enter the conflict greatly changing the Kiev front.
7. But, Belarus's Lukashenko is afraid that the conscript Belarus army might change sides to Ukraine side so he might restrain himself.
8. Though air around Kiev is not secured by any side, area around Crimean + Donbas, Russians have air supremacy.- It doesn’t look like the Russian have fully committed all their forces for this yet.Chimp
- https://twitter.com/…********
- West intel said Russia has about 70% of their forces in Ukraine rn
Unless they bomb everything like in Syria thus committing war crimes, they will not win********