Coronavirus

Out of context: Reply #5850

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    https://www.nytimes.com/interact…

    AVERAGE daily new reported cases in the USA, rounded:

    Jan 6: 609,000
    Jan 7: 649,000
    Jan 8: 656,000
    Jan 9: 658,000
    Jan 10: 737,415
    Trending up.

    So, today's rate is probably 750k cases per day.

    61 million cases have been recorded in the US.

    Let's say it levels off and new cases remain steady or it goes up a bit and then back down: it would take still take one full year from today to record a total of 330 million cases, more than the total population of the United States.

    But if we follow the trend line, roughly, in about 6 weeks you're looking at 2 million cases per day. (Do we even have enough tests?) We also can assume a ton of cases go undocumented as many have very low symptoms and tests aren't available.

    So let's hope this thing tapers off, but I don't see us getting to post-covid endemic until 2023.

    South Africa results suggest a future more hopeful than the one I outlined above.

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    • it's a bummer
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    • you'll be fine, it's coming down in the uk after a couple of weeks.hans_glib
    • More than half of people in Europe could be infected with the Omicron variant of the coronavirus in the next six to eight weeks, the WHO said today.
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    • Anyway, yeah, post isn't about me being fine. I'm thinking about how long until we feel normal again
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    • The Lord works in mysterious ways.utopian
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