Coronavirus

Out of context: Reply #5117

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    Rewind << Expert says that UK could face ‘100,000 new Covid cases a day’ by July if restrictions are lifted! An open letter published early July in The Lancet expressed concerns the complete removal of pandemic restrictions are dangerous.

    >> Now the result surprised all the experts. (see graph)
    The number of cases is falling rapidly in UK and in the Netherlands.

    What does we learn about future lockdowns and exponential growth? What does we learn about predictions from experts?

    Does UK have an advantage when winter comes if so many gain natural immunity especially the young who largely have only mild courses?

    crazy times!

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    • I think the lesson is that we can’t just release restrictions so quickly.monospaced
    • they all went on vacation ?uan
    • We can see why people go ape shit as predictions and restrictions are so off the mark. UK's no-restriction policy seems to be working fine due to vaccinations?Ianbolton
    • Or is it more tha fact that shit loads of people have it, just not being hospitalised? I know so many people who've deleted the test and trace app too.Ianbolton
    • Not sure how we're tracking it nowIanbolton
    • Vaccinated people probably don't show symptoms and have little reason to be tested at all.monospaced
    • I know more friends and friends of friends with covid right now than ever., but most are vaxxed., not all tho,1 proclaimed last night he wished he had got vax'dfadein11
    • It is completely nuts, think it's too early to put down to vaccines, but it's nice to have something unexpected and positive news for a changekingsteven
    • It's kinda nuts the testing here, we've an ever replenishing stack of lateral flow tests g/f who works in public facing role does one at least once a weekkingsteven
    • Read somewhere recently that 94% of Brits already have antibodies so what a vvirus to do these days...
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    • ^Make that 94% of adults, but good numbers so it might explain the drop in cases? https://www.thetimes…
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    • i think we also see that it is often forgotten, even if numbers expon rise, that virus does not take all at the time. So the sky is not the limit.api
    • Also it is often overlooked that numbers not only exp rise, but they also fall down exponentially - we saw that also in India.api
    • UK Gov't is facing a rock and hard place situation where it really needs economic gains in a post-Brexit reality, so is eager to lift the lid as soon as it can.Nairn
    • Been like this since the start, hence our massive early lead in vaccine investment (as w/ US). It's ok though - next pandemic, we'll really know know what to doNairn
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