Coronavirus

Out of context: Reply #4112

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  • maquito0

    Daily infection record today in Uruguay: 136. Needless to say, it is a figure to take into perspective, and I understand that it will not sound alarming to anyone, but the fact is that the cases have gone up from 7, to 20, then to 60, then to 80, 1 week ago we hit 100, and there seems to be a clear trend to keep climbing. Health authorities said today that any vaccine would take at least to late Q1 2021. I just hope that if we keep adding 20+ more infections every two weeks, our small and fragile health system will still hold up till march/april w/o leaving anyone behind.

    • By “take into perspective”, I think it’s fair to share that in Uruguay, there are less than 900 ICU beds.maquito
    • If we kept adding +100 per day, by mid Dec., we could probably have +4000 infections, and probably the “no beds available” mark.maquito
    • Not every case is going to need an ICU bed. If only 4% of need beds then cases could potentially get to 22,500 before there is a crisis.eryx
    • Hopefully you see the trend level out or drop and it never gets near that many active cases.eryx
    • That 4% would give us - in case the progression continues-, around 9 months. I hope the curve decreases, and that the vaccine appears sooner. Tks eryx.maquito
    • Such a small difference, hard to say if it's an actual increase or just testing different set of peopleyuekit

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