Donald Trump
Donald Trump
Out of context: Reply #5614
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- neverscared2
Trump 14 points behind Biden a month before election, new poll shows
Trump’s advisers scramble to find a strategy for final weeks, saying ‘it’s important that our campaign vigorously proceed’https://www.theguardian.com/us-n…
is there strong comfort to take from this lead ?
- Everyone will say don't trust the polls because of the expectation that Clinton would win last time. But then again, that was a very close election and Bidenyuekit
- no. stay vigilanttank02
- has a bigger lead now than Clinton did.yuekit
- Clinton was ahead 16 points at this time********
- Nb no
https://fivethirtyei…tank02 - Because of the stupid electoral college system, it's more helpful to look at the polls in individual states. Biden's easiest path of winning is by winning backyuekit
- Democrat leaning states in the North and Midwest that Trump won last time...Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.yuekit
- Trump surprised everyone by winning those states in 2016, but he won by margins as low as 0.2%. So you just need a small shift back to the Democrats and theyuekit
- election is basically over. And Biden has a lead of 6-7 points in those states right now.yuekit
- The best case for Trump is that his followers are very dedicated, and just the uncertainty of voting during an epidemic.yuekit
- ok, sounds like a vague comfort...could be worse ;)neverscared