Coronavirus

Out of context: Reply #3594

  • Started
  • Last post
  • 6,418 Responses
  • yuekit2

    "Health experts are highly concerned that the herd immunity idea is being discussed inside the White House....it may require 2.13 million deaths to reach a 65 percent threshold"

    https://news.yahoo.com/pandemic-…

    yuekit 2Permalink
    UpvoteDownvote
    Flag
    • I was just reading about that elsewhere
      https://arstechnica.…      Nairn
    • may. useless guesses are uselesshans_glib
    • Herd immunity is the worst strategy possiblescarabin
    • It’s literally just infect everyone and whoever lives is the new herdscarabin
    • My dad loves this idea.. he's also is a 65 year old type 1 diabetic. Fox News rots the brain.mathinc
    • it's lazy and dodges accountability. What a stable genius move.aliastime
    • Yeah in the context of this government it's basically just saying, we give up.yuekit
    • sooo, it's basically the same as the current strategy but with more shielding for the elderly? btw the calculation used to reach 2.13m is pretty idiotic...kingsteven
    • "In the United States, with a population of 328 million, reaching a 65 percent threshold for herd immunity may require 2.13 million deaths, assuming the viruskingsteven
    • this is a short cut to thinking mentality, jfcwhatthefunk
    • has a 1 percent fatality rate, according to an analysis by The Post."kingsteven
    • 65 percent is a very high assumption for a threshold (it could be < 20%) and 1% fatality rate is based on deaths per confirmed case.kingsteven
    • given that its been shown that the majority fight it off without antibodies AND develop some immunity, serology results are not representative of immunitykingsteven
    • not that herd immunity should ever be policy. but we could be closer to the end of this than we think.kingsteven
    • if you look at any graphs of areas experiencing a 'second wave' of cases at the end of lockdown the deaths in following weeks are far lower than would bekingsteven
    • expected using the initial model, this demonstrates to me that the traditional methods for calculating herd immunity are not fit for purpose.kingsteven
    • It is what it is_niko
    Show [[ numHiddenNotes ]] more notesAdd Note
    SaveCancel

View thread