Coronavirus
Out of context: Reply #3499
- Started
- Last post
- 6,418 Responses
- utopian-1
Influential Coronavirus Model Predicts 86% Increase In U.S. Death Toll By December
The respected IHME model, which was referred to by the White House in coronavirus press briefings this past spring, assumes that if localities continue to ease restrictions until infections hit a certain threshold, about 295,000 total deaths will occur by December 1.
Conversely, the model predicts that if 95% of the population wore masks, it would cause a 49% decrease in the projected death toll, leading to about 228,000 deaths.
If localities continue to ease restrictions without regard to spiking infection rates, nearly 400,000 Americans are projected to die by December.
Thursday’s update contrasts with the model’s launch in March, which projected 81,000 deaths “through the epidemic’s first wave,” but the death toll as of Thursday stands at 158,000.
The World Health Organization disputed the notion of waves in a July 28 press conference, pointing to the U.S.’ world-leading totals of infections and deaths, with one official suggesting the pandemic should be thought of as “one big wave.”
- Word on the medical-scientific-s... is we drag this by 2024, adjust models accordingly...********
- medical scientific street*********
- Because - hey - you can't really fight stupidity with a vaccine...********
- Word on the medical-scientific-s... is we drag this by 2024, adjust models accordingly...