Coronavirus
Out of context: Reply #2456
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"The following is the text of a study by Prof Isaac Ben-Israel, first published on April 16, 2020. (Ben-Israel discussed his research on Israeli TV on April 13, saying that simple statistics show the spread of the coronavirus declines to almost zero after 70 days — no matter where it strikes, and no matter what measures governments impose to try to thwart it.)
The following article aims at examining the development of the coronavirus disease in Israel since its inception 56 days ago (8 weeks).
It turns out that the peak of the virus’ spread has been behind us for about two weeks now, and will probably fade within two more weeks.Our analysis shows that this is a constant pattern across countries. Surprisingly, this pattern is common to countries that have taken a severe lockdown, including the paralysis of the economy, as well as to countries that implemented a far more lenient policy and have continued in ordinary life.
The data indicates that the lockdown policy can be stopped within a few days and replaced by a policy of moderate social distancing."
https://www.timesofisrael.com/th…
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Soooooo...this might explain why Sweden without full lockdown has almost the same numbers as other countries that went nuclear lockdown
- Sweden's 12% death rate and low # of tests administered indicates there are up to 6x more active cases throughout the country than reported.zarkonite
- I did a post while back with some numbers - there maybe 10x more cases than reported (tested) so the R0 is very high but the death rate is very low (0.4%)********
- but still 0.4% is a big number for big countries, that was the issue, that we need to reduce that********
- then again, as numbers and studies coming in, it really looks like we overreacted - that's both a good and a bad thing tho'********
- I'd rather we overreact than underreact, frankly.Continuity
- You can't overreact to a pandemic. At least, better to overreact than under react.shapesalad
- And something needed to burst the bubble economy, unfortunately central banks are just throwing money at the economic problem, rather than letting it reset.shapesalad
- This isn't anywhere near being over, this virus will keep coming back until everyone's had it. We have to reach a certain level of immunity in the generalzarkonite
- population. A vaccine can get us there faster, but most of us will have to develop immunity for this thing to stop growing.zarkonite
- I'm not entirely sure that we can develop any sort of immunity to it. There are other viruses we have no substantial immunity to. We need vaccine or cure.shapesalad
- But did you read the article, it says right there the virus is going away after 8 weeks or so, more or less...********
- there was also that "prediction" from that baba-yaga-old-bulgar... who dreamt the virus and said it was going away like puff and we all laughed about it...********
- *Conspiricy Of Day Thread*webazoot
- zarkonite - at this point its not even sure if people get immune to the virus, or if it due to mutation, can infect them again.Nutter