Politics
Out of context: Reply #12693
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- ukit0
It's looking more and more unlikely Republicans win back the Senate this year. There are so few seats up for grabs that winning depends on winning all the seats they're expected to, plus every single one of a handful of races that are really close.
Unfortunately, even with all the shit that is going on, oil spill, economy etc. in almost all those races the Republican is losing ground not gaining it. Grabbed these from 538.com but they are just the averages of all polls for these races:
One of the bigger deals for them would have been winning in Connecticut, but Chris Dodd retired and now Blumenthal is leading by 20+ points, despite the whole Vietnam thing.
The most amazing example is that even Harry Reid who was 10-20 points behind and looked like he was going to lose for sure is now actually ahead in Nevada.
The betting market, Intrade, has Republican chances at 12.5%.
Not winning the Senate means the Republicans won't really be able to accomplish jack shit even if they win the House (which itself is kind of a stretch although there are way more seats involved). Interesting stuff.
- go knicks********
- Interesting analysis. I'll wait til November to check in, tho. Thanks for keeping us posted, ukit.luckyorphan
- HA, now thats funny stuff!********
- People, generally, like their Sendator. It's the other Senators they can't stand!boobs
- go knicks