Future Wars
Out of context: Reply #10
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Other last minute, kinda connected thoughts:
a) What will be interestingwill be warmiong ties between China and Brazil. China conducts war through peace. They will want to stir the anti-US fires already beginning to smolder in Latin America, Brazil in particular. Brazil has the potential to become a major world player - a fairly educated populace, tons of natural resources, huge population, very tech savy. Chine would love to have the US have to deal with shit in it's own backyard - which all of South America has essentially been to the US since the beginning.
You think the rant of Pat Robertson against Chavez in Venuzuela came from nowhere? Nope. Keep an eye on South America. It will be to the global economy what the "asian tigers" were in the 80's.
China as a rival to the US will start to make things diplomatically difficult for the US by forcing it's attention thin.
b) Russia will be important in it's geographical sphere but they have limited force projection (well everybody has limited force projection in comparison to the US - and maybe Al Queda)
c) expect lots of short hot wars - and forget oil, the next major battles wil be on water rights and access to them.
d) Africa will still be a mess, sadly.
e) Middle east will still be dangerous - but heck as long as they have oil someone will buy it.
f) Ignore the rants from US about "rogue nations". Stop and think about it. Please name actual Rogue nations. I'll wait here...what have you come up with? One? Yup. North Korea. That is the rogue nation. Period.
Iran? Not really all that rogue. Pakistan? Well, not as it;'s still under a US friendly dictatorship. Lot's of weird little rogue regimes in Africa but they'r ebasically a threat to their own populace and not to global security.
g) Wait for small nuclear device to be exploded somewhere iona city. Then shit gets serious. Until then - have fun!