Predictions???
Out of context: Reply #193
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- monNom0
West will do nothing meaningful, leaving two options:
Ukraine surrenders and becomes a defacto part of the Russian Federation. Locals are heavily oppressed as Russia exerts it's power.
Ukraine does not surrender, the war devolves into a guerilla conflict as locals resist Russian attempts to take power. Russia responds by securing and limiting the distribution of food and supplies so that guerillas cannot be supported by or hide within the local population. This means not just seizing national grain stores and distribution infrastructure, but also the burning of crop fields, house-to-house search and seizure of food and supplies. They may also begin to intern women, children and the elderly in order to draw guerilla fighters together in an attempt to save their families from starvation in camps. This makes it much easier to fight guerilla's en mass.
In retrospect, we end up with a situation far too similar to the Holodomor, or the Ethiopian famine, the second Boer war, or the German invasion of Poland.- the German invasion of Poland.sted
- obviously, afflicting/killing civilians is not a good way to justify an attack by saying that the other side is the pure evil.sted
- Ukrainians learned the difference between living under rassan influence and being part of the rest of the world, making their own decisions, fighting their ownsted
- fights.
Ukraine surrenders, it can happen,
that drags down the entire region. Generates non-stop conflict, and the putler can say that they are terrorists.sted - I'm betting on option 2. The Ukrainians look tough.CyBrainX